It's as long as 10 days, now -- the gap between a bet's closing and the settlement of the S-proceeds. A growing number of closed bets remain unprocessed, and many bet closing times are so far in the future -- two or three quarters away -- that gratification is not longer so instantaneous. (SXSWi bets may juice things up a bit.)
The prediction is that at least one bet will remain unsettled 11 days after it "closed."
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Hi Jack, regarding the OOXML prediction, the way it was written stated, "The Standard will not make a judgment until an official announcement by the ISO," which, from what I can tell, could be as late as March 29th. We can't judge that prediction prematurely, or we'll get burned by the community (even if the prediction seems like a foregone conclusion, and the original closing date expired). More fresh predictions will be up shortly.
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