Submitted by The Standard03.10.2008
Thunderdome
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This prediction is closed and has been judged.
Judgment made on January 12, 2009: AOL acquired SocialThing in August 2008. Based on availabe data, this prediction did not come true. -- The Industry Standard
Original prediction: This is a prediction that the recently launched and well-reviewed SocialThing will outstrip the recently public and also well-reviewed FriendFeed in terms of overall traffic (indicated by monthly uniques) by the end of the year. In judging this prediction, the editors will use Comscore numbers for monthly uniques for each site for the month of December 2008.
Price History
Prediction Statistics
| Betting Closes: | Dec 31 2008 | Current Consensus: | 11.92% | Total Bets: | 26 |
| Today's Change: | 0% | ||||
| Life Time High: | 51.25% | ||||
| Life Time Low: | 11.92% |
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http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/03/17/friendfeed-has-search-and-suddenly-...
@TIS, how will this be judged? SocialThing hardly made the blip on comScore report to be used for judgement. Looking at compete.com, since prediction came into play in March, Friendfeed has gained popularity while SocialThing continues to faltfline on monthly unique traffic (http://siteanalytics.compete.com/socialthing.com+friendfeed.com/?metric=...).
Furthermore, AOL has just acquired SocialThing (Aug 14) and will integrate it into the AOL People Networks along with Bebo (acquired in May 19). As indicated (http://blog.socialthing.com/) by Matt (CEO of Socialthing), "Specifically speaking, we have a really cool opportunity ahead of us to integrate into some other AOL products that might change the way you see social aggregation. AIM is a really big target for us, both on the aggregation and on the publishing side, so you can imagine how excited we are to be able to work along side the team." What if SocialThing does not exist in its current form by end of year?
@TIS, is it reasonable for judgement to take place when SocialThing officially becomes part of AOL and that the latest metric be used instead of waiting to the end of 2008?
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