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Microsoft announces intention to acquire RIM by June 30, 2010?

Ian Lamont
Comments 6
Betting closes on Jun 21 2010
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Microsoft's mobile offerings are struggling. The company's mobile operating system, Windows Mobile, has been left behind amidst a slew of new competitors and robust application platforms. Device buzz has built around the iPhone, Droid, Pre, and new BlackBerry models, none of which run Windows Mobile. And the company's Danger subsidiary suffered an embarrassing cloud outage that resulted in an estimated one million mobile users losing access to their contacts and calendars for days.

What could right Microsoft's mobile stragegy? A New York investment banker has an intriguing proposal: The company should buy Research in Motion, the company behind the sprawling BlackBerry empire. He writes:

The price for RIM would likely top $40 billion, but at least Microsoft would own a market-leading company with plenty of juice left, not to mention a product that an awful lot of adults would sooner die than live without. If Microsoft can deeply and seamlessly integrate new BlackBerries into Windows and Office, Chairman Steve (Ballmer, that is) will see a million apps bloom. Not only will this trip up Apple's designs on enterprise-wide iPhone sales, it will pull Apple-like crowds into Microsoft's new retail outlets. That would be something to yodel about.

On the other hand, this idea has been floating around for some time (see our prediction from 2008) yet has not panned out. Further, Microsoft is also working on a new version of Windows Mobile, which apparently won't be released until well into 2010.

Prediction: Microsoft publicly announces its intention to acquire Research In Motion on or before June 30, 2010.

Image: BlackBerry Curve keyboard (VentureBeat)

Current Community Consensus 14%

Prediction Statistics

Betting Closes:Jun 21 2010Current Consensus:13.59%Total Bets:24
Today's Change:
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Life Time Low:13.59%
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Comments

Yeah right. After seeing what happened with Danger, it is very unlikely that RIM would like to be bought by Microsoft, and it is very unclear that Microsoft would want to buy it either. Partnerships are a possibility, but if RIM gets bought, what then? What OS would they use? What Blackberry have is definitely superior to what Microsoft has, so what is the point? Being bought by Microsoft would likely be the kiss of death for RIM's market share, because nobody thinks Microsoft can bring anything to Blackberries that they do not have yet.

The idea is not new, but groundless. This bozo can wish for the deal that would make him rich, but that does not mean it will happen.


Chris You bring up some good points, but one thing that needs to be recognized is Windows Mobile may be a lost cause altogether. Windows Mobile smartphone sales have plunged 20% in Q3, according to this report:

http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/11/12/windows-mobile-smartphone-sal...

Money quote: "Several industry analysts have questioned whether Windows Mobile will last beyond version 7.0."

If 7.0 flops, Microsoft will need to turn to something else if it intends to stay in the game. If not, it will need to make a strong partnership, and it seems far less likely to work with Google or Apple than a company like RIM.

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard
twitter.com/ilamont


Windows Mobile is getting quite a bit of traction. No reason to absorb RIM with closed OS. This MSFT-RIM deal is all pure speculations.


Reaction to the original article: Microsoft should be WebMD, not RIM:

http://paidcontent.org/article/419-five-media-deals-id-like-to-see-happe...

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard
twitter.com/ilamont


More fuel for pure speculation:

http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/11/16/does-it-make-sense-nokia-buy-...

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard
twitter.com/ilamont


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