Submitted by Yi-Wyn Yen03.11.2009
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Betting closes on Dec 15 2009
Apple is working on its next big thing. What's not clear is what Apple is developing. Some speculate that Apple is getting into the growing netbook segment based on a tip that Taiwanese manufacturer Wintek is supplying touch panels for the Cupertino-based company. A netbook is a scaled-down version of a laptop.
Others suggest that Apple is making a super-sized version of its iPod Touch with a bigger screen to watch movies, play videogames, and read e-books on.
Prediction: Apple unveils a new netbook in 2009. An announcement from Apple by Dec. 31, 2009 that the company will sell netbooks will be sufficient for a favorable judgment. Apple does not have to sell netbooks in '09 for a favorable ruling. The product must be formally categorized as a netbook.
8/10/09 clarification: The definition of netbook is as follows:
It must have typical netbook qualities, such as a lower power processor than other MacBooks, a keyboard, and smaller overall size footprint.
In addition, the price must be lower than the current lowest-priced MacBook, and also must not have the same branding as base MacBook -- i.e., it can't be simply a price cut of the low-end MacBooks.
Image: Simon Varwell/Flickr
Current Community Consensus 10%Prediction Statistics
| Betting Closes: | Dec 15 2009 | Current Consensus: | 10.43% | Total Bets: | 42 |
| Today's Change: | 0% | ||||
| Life Time High: | 54.98% | ||||
| Life Time Low: | 9.98% |
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Comments
@Yi-Wyn, please clarify that favorable judgment can only be made if:
1) Apple makes the product announcement by end of 2009.
2) Product is categorized formally within the netbook category.
Not a chance! Apple can't make anything cheap enough. A "netbook" that costs like $900+ is not a netbook.
I'll be pleasantly surprised if I'm proven wrong, though.
Does not look likely. Tim Cook call's netbook market 'junky'
When Tim Cook says this - you can bet it is a careful, outflanking move. Notice, he never said no. And trust Apple to bring out an iPhone-like netbook for $799 and watch the (sheep) herd!
This is a little bit unclear. I would assume that a tablet device with a touchscreen that doesn't have a physical keyboard opposing the screen (i.e. the "book" in "netbook") could never be a netbook. It's a tablet.
I suppose another characterization of a netbook would be a cheap price (under $800?) but mostly a small form factor (smaller than12in. in diameter?) and light weight.
A giant ipod touch would probably fulfill all of these restrictions except it's not a "book".
John: To clarify, I will use the definition of an Apple netbook that first appeared in an earlier prediction tied to Macworld 2009:
"... it must have typical netbook qualities, such as a lower power processor than other macbooks, a keyboard, and smaller overall size footprint."
In addition, the price must be lower than the current lowest-priced MacBook, and also must not have the same branding as base MacBook -- i.e., it can't be simply a price cut of the low-end MacBooks.
Also, please note that we do have another prediction about an Apple tablet.
Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard
Thanks Ian, I'm there (predicting for a tablet while against a netbook).
Readers: Prediction market player Tay Bass has pointed us to an AllThingsD blog post which cites "multiple music industry sources" as saying there will be some sort of Apple event the week of September 7. However, there hasn't been any confirmation, much less a mention of what product(s) might be involved.
Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard
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