The Industry Standard - No Apple iPhone released in China in 2009? - Comments

Well...not Oct 1 but Oct 30

David Kuan — Fri, 30 Oct 2009 11:00:06 -0400

Well...not Oct 1 but Oct 30 instead.

That was quick! Ian

Ian Lamont — Mon, 28 Sep 2009 11:13:46 -0400

That was quick!

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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Unicom to sell Apple iPhones

David Kuan — Mon, 28 Sep 2009 10:18:24 -0400

Unicom to sell Apple iPhones in China from October 1

The iPhone will be released

Ian Lamont — Fri, 28 Aug 2009 08:59:30 -0400

The iPhone will be released in China this year, therefore rendering a negative judgment. Details here:

http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/08/28/china-unicom-sell-iphone-next...

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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Thanks, David. A note to all

Ian Lamont — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 11:32:14 -0400

Thanks, David.

A note to all participants: If the analyst cited in the Reuters article is correct and an announcement is made over the next week, the deciding factor for this prediction will be the launch date -- that is, the actual sale date for Chinese consumers.

An announcement on its own will be insufficient for judgment unless the parties involve state which month or quarter consumers can buy the device.

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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http://www.reuters.com/articl

David Kuan — Thu, 27 Aug 2009 10:28:05 -0400

http://www.reuters.com/article/technologyNews/idUSTRE57Q0NY20090827

But they would deny that,

Ian Lamont — Fri, 14 Aug 2009 23:47:21 -0400

But they would deny that, wouldn't they? If not from pressure from Apple, but for preserving their own negotiating leverage?

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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Unicom denies 5M iPhone

David Kuan — Fri, 14 Aug 2009 10:26:39 -0400

Unicom denies 5M iPhone purchase rumor

Latest .... China Unicom

David Kuan — Thu, 13 Aug 2009 09:37:10 -0400

Latest .... China Unicom buys 5 million iPhones from Apple, ready for sale in September

Conflicting rumors and

Ian Lamont — Wed, 05 Aug 2009 11:07:57 -0400

Conflicting rumors and denials on a Fortune blog:

http://brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2009/07/28/chinas-iphone-dea...

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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Apple and Chinese

Ian Lamont — Mon, 13 Jul 2009 12:03:05 -0400

Apple and Chinese authorities are reportedly getting close on the iPhone -- sticking points governing security protocols and wifi access are being worked out.

But this section of the article has a direct impact on the prediction:

Still, the handset could finish the tests and receive its network access license within three months, possibly helping speed talks with China Unicom, Zhang said. Sales could then start by Apple's target period early next year, he said.

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard

Deals in China is never

David Kuan — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 12:04:02 -0400

Deals in China is never certain. Lots of political wrangling, bribery, back-alley deals and Intellectual Property issues. It is well known to reverse engineer and sell clones without much retributions.Merrill Lynch merely assumes an expectation of a deal to coincide with launch of 3G service in China. Not really that strong of an argument in my opinion.

This is interesting. Lots of

Ian Lamont — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 11:18:14 -0400

This is interesting. Lots of evidence recently that an iPhone in China is likely this year, yet the community consensus has actually risen from 31% to 39%, which would indicate that some participants don't believe it. Is there other data out there that would explain this trend?

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
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Merrill Lynch expects the

Tay Bass — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 10:36:37 -0400

Merrill Lynch expects the iPhone to go on sale in China on October 1-
http://tech.yahoo.com/news/nm/20090619/tc_nm/us_apple_unicom

More evidence that Apple and

Ian Lamont — Thu, 11 Jun 2009 09:56:18 -0400

More evidence that Apple and China are getting closer to resolving their alleged differences:

http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/06/11/chinese-iphone-deal-shows-mor...

The job posting from Apple is particularly convincing that this will happen sooner rather than later.

Ian Lamont
Managing Editor
The Industry Standard
twitter.com/the_standard

No Apple iPhone released in China in 2009?

Yi-Wyn Yen — Mon, 09 Feb 2009 15:30:46 -0500

Apple CEO Steve Jobs and chief operating officer Tim Cook reportedly met with China Mobile execs three times before talks to bring the iPhone to China failed. Major sticking points between Apple and China's largest mobile carrier include control over iPhone's app store and revenue share.

Despite rumors that the iPhone was coming to China in early 2009, the Chinese still don't legally have a way to buy the popular mobile device that is manufactured in Shenzhen province.

Prediction: Apple will not launch the iPhone in China by Dec. 31, 2009.

Image: The Tenth Dragon/Flickr