The Industry Standard - Facebook's 2008 growth less than 15% - Comments

Upon re-read, the posted

David Kuan — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 14:10:37 -0700

Upon re-read, the posted comScore article shows 49M numbers for North America rather than US. The Venture Beat article (http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/13/comscore-googles-still-the-king-buying...) shows that the US number came in at 39.1M which does not yet meet the judgement criteria. Looks like another month of ROI on this one before the August metric is released by comScore.

This is press release from

David Kuan — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 09:14:33 -0700

This is press release from comScore .... http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=2396

Unique visitor in US has hit

David Kuan — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 06:45:12 -0700

Unique visitor in US has hit 49M

Facebook has grown by a stupendous 300 per cent in Europe over the last year – according to the latest ComScore statistics – and could soon have outgrown its US equivalent.

With the social networking site working hard on making itself more culturally relevant in non-US markets, the dividends appear to be huge, with a not-inconsiderable 38 per cent growth in the US – still its largest market – overshadowed by some stunning growth rates from the rest of the world.

Europe's 303 per cent growth saw it grow from an audience of 8 million unique visitors to 35 million, only 14 million behind the US total.

ConnectU lost the court

David Kuan — Wed, 13 Aug 2008 06:40:04 -0700

ConnectU lost the court appeal. ConnectU can now be assiimilated into Facebook.

@TIS, more clarification ...

David Kuan — Tue, 12 Aug 2008 14:31:47 -0700

@TIS, more clarification ... the prediction says "The bet is that Facebook's December 2008 comScore number will be less than 39.9 million uniques.", Note the keyword here is "LESS THAN".

So, if it breaks 39.9M uniques between now and end of 2008, an unfavorable judgement shall be made? Can a case be made that Facebook may begin to losing uniques after hitting a peak above 39.9M (let's say late October) and ended up with less than 39.9M at end of 2008?

Can TIS add any clarification to the prediction verbiage to help improve the prediction verbiage?

Well, Larry Kubal wrote this

Eric Hill684799 — Wed, 23 Jul 2008 11:46:24 -0700

Well, Larry Kubal wrote this prediction. If you read this very specifically, it could be read as a prediction for the future. However, I personally believe that the "spirit" Larry was going for meant any month in 2008. If Facebook broke that milestone in July, for example, I would likely close this as having occurred. It was a very early prediction, before we were all fully "trained" (and I still make mistakes). ;)

@TIS, what if Facebook

David Kuan — Wed, 23 Jul 2008 10:32:30 -0700

@TIS, what if Facebook breaks 39.9M unique prior to December 2008 report?

Facebook gaining on MySpace

David Kuan — Thu, 19 Jun 2008 08:32:00 -0700

Facebook gaining on MySpace

@Larry, are you referring to

David Kuan — Thu, 19 Jun 2008 07:38:48 -0700

@Larry, are you referring to US uniques or Worldwide uniques?

Facebook's 2008 growth less than 15%

Larry Kubal — Fri, 29 Feb 2008 15:25:45 -0800

Specifically: according to comScore, Facebook had 34.7 million uniques in December 2007. The bet is that Facebook's December 2008 comScore number will be less than 39.9 million uniques.