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Behind the Numbers: The Mystery of B-to-B Forecasts Revealed

By Stacy Lawrence
02.21.2000
Categories

and indirect goods. Forrester Research
U.S. 1999: $109 billion
U.S. 2003: $1.8 trillion Final commitment to buy must occur over the Internet. Measures only goods, not services. Includes only EDI transactions conducted over the Internet. Includes multiple sales transactions. Interviewed 80 executives from Fortune 1,000 companies, half from purchasing and half from marketing/sales organizations. Modeled 13 hard-goods supply chains. Gartner Group
World 1999: $145 billion
World 2003: $3.9 trillion
World 2004: $7.3 trillion Total value of sales transactions, involves counting each time along the supply chain that an item is resold. Only includes EDI if it transfers over the Internet at any point. Updated global economic model that forecasts by country. Surveyed by random sample 1,500 IT managers and interviewed in-depth 80 executives. Also interviewed major markets makers. Goldman Sachs
U.S. 1999: $155 billion
U.S. 2003: $1.1 trillion Business-to-business transactions initiated or executed over the Internet. Includes b-to-b technology and software infrastructure and government business spending. Includes only EDI transactions that travel over the Internet at any point. In August 1999, surveyed IT managers and financial officers at 41 Fortune 1,000 companies. Consulted equity analysts and economists in specific b-to-b segments to determine market size and percentage of sales moving online. IDC
U.S. 1999: $50 billion
U.S. 2003: $634 billion
World 1999: $80 billion
World 2003: $1.1 trillion B-to-b figures are generated by combining small, medium and large business as well as government and education. Includes products and services purchased for business end-use. Counts EDI if the front-end uses a Web gateway (5 percent to 10 percent of EDI.) Data gathered from the online buyers' perspective with local analysts forecasting in 30 countries. *Over private networks. Source: Companies listed

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